By Hugo Novales
China is often compared to a dragon given the mythical beast’s cultural legacy coupled with the nation’s rise in becoming the world’s second-strongest superpower, right behind the US.
But no one except Ker Gibbs, the former President of the American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai, has ever described China as a “fragile” dragon, indicating that there are weaknesses underneath its scales.
With a multi-decade career in Asia working in various public and private sector roles, Gibbs has summarised his understanding of China’s capabilities in his new book, The Fragile Dragon: China’s Strengths and the Limits to its Power, which was published earlier this year.
At an FCC Club Lunch this August, Gibbs sat down with Jing Yang, the Asia Bureau Chief for The Information and the Club’s First Vice President, to talk about his book, exploring first what most people may or may not truly understand about China.

“There are weaknesses in China, as I describe throughout the book,” Gibbs said. “China’s good at a lot of things, but not great at everything.”
Gibbs cited two major weaknesses that China faces: multiple contested borders with neighbouring countries (which may never be truly resolved), and, more importantly, “very poor” relationships with trading partners.
“I’d call that [a] weakness,” he said, especially considering how dependent China has become on trade, both imports and exports.
He went on to discuss how China’s internet censorship has contributed to economic competition versus cooperation between Beijing and Washington, and led to a form of decoupling.
Commonly known as “The Great Firewall”, China’s internet censorship seals off anyone outside mainland China, especially those in business, from accessing Chinese websites. It also restricts those within China’s borders from browsing sites like Amazon, Meta, and X. Instead, China has created its own digital ecosystem complete with tailored social media and e-commerce sites that are tightly controlled by Beijing.
Gibbs believes these restrictions fuel the common misunderstandings and overestimations of the average “China hawk” — people who have identified China as an enemy to US society and the rest of the world.
“In some ways China with its five year plans is quite transparent, but on another level, Beijing doesn’t want to be understood,” he said. This lack of transparency has contributed to misunderstandings and led to even more hawkish stances.
Gibbs also thinks the Great Firewall has led to the continuous decoupling between the world’s top two superpowers.
Beijing has often lamented Washington’s tactics that have slowly removed the US’ reliance on Chinese partnership across various industries, yet Gibbs argues that the very conception of the Great Firewall contributed to these tensions in the first place.
“The Great Firewall has effectively sealed off [China’s] digital economy from the rest of the world. What is that if it’s not decoupling?” he said.
As the son of a Chinese mother and an American father, Gibbs explained that throughout his life — and especially amid souring ties between the US and China — he’s been routinely asked what side he’d pick if the two countries ended up fighting each other. His answer: it’s not a fight worth winning for either side.
“A war between the US and China is just unthinkable. But if your mother and father had a fight, do you want one of them to win? Or do you just want the fight to be over?”
To watch the full discussion, please visit the FCC’s YouTube channel:


















