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Emmanuel Macron: Inside the French president’s first year

French President Emmanuel Macron has imposed a new style and rhythm in French politics, but now, in his second year as leader, he is facing tensions that could affect his standing on the global political stage.

Professor Alistair Cole gave his take on French President Emmanuel Macron's first year. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC Professor Alistair Cole gave his take on French President Emmanuel Macron’s first year. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC

Young, dynamic, energetic, brilliant, ruthless – “and perhaps a little bit arrogant” – Macron has symbolised the end of the “old world” of French politics and turned the presidency into a powerful institution that had been losing its way under Jacques Chirac, Nicolas Sarkozy, and to some extent, François Hollande, said Professor Alistair Cole, whose book, Emmanuel Macron and the re-making of France – will be published in March 2019.

He is someone who likes to be in control, but that control has been slipping recently, particularly in light of the widely-reported Alexandre Benalla incident. Benalla, a security official for Macron, was filmed hitting and stamping on a man at a Paris demonstration while dressed as a police officer. He has since been charged with violence, interfering in the exercise of public office and the unauthorised public display of official insignia. Cole, Professor of Politics and Dean of Internationalisation at Sciences Po Lyon, noted that Macron had hesitated in his response to the scandal, adding that the negative effects of the Benalla affair highlighted the dangers of this secretive leadership style and practice.

In the early part of his presidency, Macron came across as a straight talker, said Cole at the October 30 club lunch, due to his numerous “petit phrases and one-liners”. The most recent to make headlines was his telling unemployed French people to cross the street and find a job in a restaurant. This rhetoric has contributed to his growing image as “a rather arrogant, distant and elitist individual”.

Macron also ushered in a raft of reforms in his first year as president which cast him as a new ‘fast President’, including abolishing wealth tax and introducing a flat tax – moves that bolstered his image as the ‘President of the Rich’.

Macron has introduced a robust form of political expression based on an explicit rejection of the left and right, Cole said, and has raised France’s standing in the world.

“From the very beginning Macron has tried to measure himself up to the great and the good in politics,” said Cole, adding that he met with Tump and Putin shortly after being elected, demonstrating a very active role in foreign policy.

However, Cole said Macron is in danger of falling into the trap of Hubris – having a sense of exaggerated pride, overwhelming self-confidence and a contempt for others.

“The positive qualities of leadership – charisma, charm, persuasiveness, decisiveness and self-confidence – can in their turn produce more negative qualities of impetuosity, a refusal to listen or take advice, impulsiveness, recklessness and inattention to derail,” Cole said.

Watch the full event here.

Petition demanding explanation for Victor Mallet visa rejection handed to Hong Kong government

A petition of more than 15,000 signatures was handed to the Hong Kong government on Monday (October 8) by a coalition of media organisations demanding an explanation as to why foreign correspondent Victor Mallet’s visa renewal application was rejected.

L-R: Chris Yeung, HKJA chairman; Chris Slaughter, FCC board of governors; Florence De Changy, FCC President;, Geoff Crowthall, FCC Press Freedom Committee; and Legislative Council member Claudia Mo. Photo: Genavieve Alexander L-R: Chris Yeung, HKJA chairman; Chris Slaughter, FCC board of governors; Florence De Changy, FCC President;, Geoff Crothall, FCC Press Freedom Committee; and Legislative Council member Claudia Mo. Photo: Genavieve Alexander

The petition, launched on Saturday by the FCC, the Hong Kong Journalists Association (HKJA), Reporters Without Borders (RSF), the International Federation of Journalism (IFJ), Journalism Educators for Press Freedom, and the Independent Commentators Association, calls on Chief Executive Carrie Lam to give a full explanation of the unprecedented move.

Among those to go to the government’s Admiralty headquarters were HKJA chairman Chris Yeung and FCC President Florence De Changy.

Photo: Genavieve Alexander Photo: Genavieve Alexander

Mallet, the Financial Times’ Asia News Editor, has been a journalist for more than 30 years and has served as the FCC Vice President since 2017.

“As such, he hosted many FCC events on a wide range of topics, including one in August with Andy Chan Ho-tin, co-founder of the Hong Kong National Party which has since been banned. This event was strongly condemned by the Chinese authorities and the Hong Kong government though it was lawful and took place in the same professional manner as all other events hosted by the FCC. The same speaker had previously spoken to other forums,” the petition says.

See the Chinese version of the petition.

Malaysia’s new government will succeed in building a stable democracy, says minister

A shared experience of opposing a prime ministerial dictatorship will be the binding factor that will propel the new ruling coalition to make Malaysia a new democracy, says its deputy defence minister.

Left: Malaysia’s Deputy Defence Minister Liew Chin Tong, and right, Penang Institute’s Executive Director, Ooi Kee Beng, discussed the country's politics at the FCC. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC Left: Malaysia’s Deputy Defence Minister Liew Chin Tong, and right, Penang Institute’s Executive Director, Ooi Kee Beng, discussed the country’s politics at the FCC. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC

Speaking at the September 26 club lunch, Liew Chin Tong admitted that the new Pakatan Harapan government, which took power earlier this year, was elected largely because voters wanted to oust Prime Minister Najib Razak, whose Barisan Nasional party had been in power since the end of British colonial rule in 1957. Senior members of Razak’s government – himself included – had become embroiled in a huge corruption scandal, and the party had recently unveiled new taxes on goods and services to add to the country’s already high cost living. On September 19, Najib was arrested and charged over almost US$700 million alleged to have been transferred to his personal account.

Now Malaysia is led by a reformist alliance – a move 60 years in the making – and at its helm is 93-year-old Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad, himself a former leader of Barisan Nasional who defected to the opposition in disgust at the emerging 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB) corruption scandal. The party’s leader and probable next prime minister is Anwar Ibrahim, who until this year’s election was in prison on charges of abuse of power, but it set to take over from his former enemy Mahathir after the pair made a succession agreement.

Liew said that at all levels, the ruling coalition was trying to reform Malaysia’s institutions and build a strong economy, higher employment, a more cohesive country, and a stronger sense of national identity.

“In terms of national identity I see an opportunity in the context of 2020 (Vision 2020, the ideal introduced by Mahathir in 1991). 2020 talks about economy growth, advanced economy, but at the same time it also talks about ethnic relations. Instead of seeing Malaysians as Chinese or Indians, whether there’s an opportunity to see ourselves as a Malaysian Asian,” he said.

Liew conceded that, despite Mahathir’s past reputation as a racist with authoritarian attitudes, he would probably be remembered as the “democrat” when his successor takes over in two years.

Penang Institute’s Executive Director, Ooi Kee Beng, appearing alongside Liew at the event, added: “The greatest advantage I see with Mahathir is that he’s 93-years-old. How much damage can he do?”

Watch the video for more on the history of Malaysian politics

Why authoritarianism is not the only threat to academic freedom

Universities must remain autonomous if they are to enjoy unfettered freedom to teach and research, says a leading academic.

Dr Tim Pringle revealed the challenges facing academics around the world. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC Dr Tim Pringle revealed the challenges facing academics around the world. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC

Dr Tim Pringle was talking about threats to academic freedom, not just from authoritarian states as has recently made news headlines, but in seemingly liberal countries where democracy reigns.

“Authoritarianism isn’t limited in my view to authoritarian states,” he said, adding that there has been a return of authoritarian practices in notionally liberal and democratic states that he linked to the rise of populism.

Pringle gave examples of the United Kingdom, where 55% of academics believed their university autonomy had declined in recent years.

One of the problems was the definition of academic freedom, Pringle, said, which many had struggled to pin down: “In my sector, despite all the huffing and puffing, we’ve done a pretty poor job of defining this concept,” he said.

Indeed, a survey found that one third of UK academics felt they did not have a good working knowledge of what academic freedom meant.

Pringle explained that academic freedom is firstly the freedom to teach: course content, how you teach, who teaches, who shall be taught, methods of assessment. Secondly, it is the freedom to research: what you research, what methods do you use, what is the purpose of your research, what means did you use to disseminate it.

Pringle, a senior lecturer in Labour, Social Movements and Development at SOAS, University of London, identified several reasons why autonomy at learning institutions was being eroded.

“I would argue in my sector some of it comes through the application of market fundamentalism, short-term profits and accumulation, and commodification of public services including higher education. This had led to a rise in managerial dominance in institutions… which is required to impose these notions.“

He warned this was “creating a supermarket product to be picked by students.”

Obsession with university rankings – of academic freedom and autonomy as measurement criteria. so actually it’s in the interests of uni institutions protect their own autonomy.

Pringle, editor of The China Quarterly, which at the end of last year found itself at the centre of a censorship battle after 300 of its articles were withdrawn – but later reinstated – by Cambridge University Press, said carrying out research in China was “getting a lot harder”.

The presence of The Party at every level, from monitoring and rendering of university research to teaching activities, have been much more effective, he said. Appointments are vetted very carefully, he said, not just for a job interview but politically. Universities go through what they’ve said and researched in the past, Pringle said. He added this was not just limited to China – sometimes the limits to classroom discussion travelled further than China.

When asked about the impact to The China Quarterly following last year’s censorship row, Pringle said: “I imagine there will be some pushback – I would imagine there will be a drop in institutional subscriptions. There are indications that there might be already.” He added that in terms of mainland submissions, they’ve increased.

“I’m not saying I’m not worried,” he said, “It’s something I think about all the time.”

Watch the video.

Trump’s foreign policy achievements ‘largely negative’, says political expert

President Donald Trump’s “radical degree of ignorance” in foreign affairs has left his administration with a “far less coherent” foreign policy, according to a political expert.

Daniel W. Drezner gave a frank view on Donald Trump's foreign policy achievements. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC Daniel W. Drezner gave a frank view on Donald Trump’s foreign policy achievements. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC

Pulling out of multilateral agreements, diplomacy via Twitter, and mistaken assumptions about how negotiation works indicate that Trump’s accomplishments in foreign policy are “mostly negative”, said Daniel W. Drezner, Professor of International Politics, a non-resident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, and a contributing editor at the Washington Post.

“He’s been at best mixed in terms of what he’s been able to do. Donald Trump has been far better at destroying things than creating things,” he told the September 14 club breakfast.

“Trump has pulled out of the Transpacific Partnership, he’s pulled out of the Paris Climate Change accords, he’s pulled out of the Iran Nuclear Deal, he’s pulled out of, I believe, UNESCO and a few other U.N. agreements,” Drezner said. “I think Trump was legitimately surprised that the TTP deal went forward without the United States, I think he thought it was going to collapse after that.”

He added that there were very few people currently serving in Trump’s administration that actually knew about Asia.

Drezner conceded that, in some areas, Trump had enjoyed success, citing the historic summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un; and his “relatively warm relationship” with Chinese President Xi Jinping, and Russian leader Vladimir Putin.

But, Drezner said, Trump had failed to deliver on significant promises made during his 2016 presidential campaign, namely pulling out of NAFTA (the North American Free Trade Agreement) and NATO.

Referring to the president as the Toddler-in-Chief, Drezner pointed to Trump’s approach as part of his failure to achieve a better foreign policy track record.

“Trump came in with a fair number of mistaken assumptions about how negotiation works in world politics and he’s only now just beginning to realise this fact. I think he really believed that the U.S. had serious coercive bargaining leverage vis-à-vis our allies without realising that if you are as blunt as Trump is on these issues you are almost generating antibodies that guarantee that allies are not going to make concessions,” he said.

Trump was a “zero-sum thinker when it comes to issues like trade”, he said, and operated based on the acronym WWOND – what would Obama not do.

Drezner said Trump was so unpopular globally among its allies – largely democracies – that leaders are reluctant to make concessions when it came to trade “because if they do so it’ll badly undercut their standing domestically”.

He pointed out that Trump’s unpopularity was making liberal internationalism great again, and that Americans were moving in the opposite direction to what Trump wants.

Drezner predicted that many countries would be tempted to wait out the Trump presidency until the next elected U.S. leader, who would likely reverse much of Trump’s achievements.

“Even if you’re a rival like China and you’re looking at what the United States is doing, your best strategy right now is to do absolutely nothing. Why should you take active or hostile measures against the United States when the United States appears to be engaging in self-immolation? You just want to stand back and let the U.S. continue to self-destruct,” Drezner concluded.

Watch the video.

Revealed: How China’s millennials see themselves and the world

China’s millennials are immensely proud of what their country has achieved economically despite feeling ambivalent towards the ruling Communist Party, which they see as “deeply flawed” but “effective”, according to a new book on the country’s young.

Zak Dychtwald, founder of Young China Group, gave insights into China's millennials. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC Zak Dychtwald, founder of Young China Group, gave insights into China’s millennials. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC

With more than 400 million people born between the early 1980s and mid-1990s, China is home to the largest group of millennials in the world. And they’re experiencing “the greatest rags to riches story” in the modern world, said Zak Dychtwald, author of the new book Young China: How the Restless Generation Will Change Their Country and the World.

Furthermore, witnessing China’s rise in the shadow of old China and its defining characteristic of poverty provides the cornerstone of several distinct differences between them and their western counterparts. Firstly, the sheer scale of the demographic compared with the U.S. sets them apart – there are five times more millennials in China than the U.S. In fact, there are more than in North America, Europe and the Middle East collectively, Dychtwald said, founder of the Young China Group, a think-tank and consultancy aimed at producing data on the millennial mindset.

Secondly, they are “extraordinarily competitive and hard working”, the 28-year-old said, adding that when he was growing up in California “going to swim practice” or playing video games, his Chinese counterparts were studying.

Thirdly, Dychwald said in his September 12 talk, China’s millennials felt proud of their country’s growth. He said that, unlike the U.S., which “elected someone… on the idea of making America great again”, young Chinese believe that “they’re becoming great now”, he said.

“This young generation has grown up interacting with the outside world far more than their parents,” said Dychwald, adding that many felt “less than enamoured” with foreign democratic governments.

Added to this is the anxiety they feel at trying to balance the expectations of their families with their yearning to grab opportunities and build good careers, he said.

Watch the video here.

Pakistan and China BRI partnership is a win-win situation despite heavy debt burden, says consul general

The US$62 billion economic partnership struck between Pakistan and China through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a win-win situation that benefits all involved, according to the Consul General of Pakistan in Hong Kong.

Abdul Qadir Memon, Consul General of Pakistan in Hong Kong, discussed BRI's impact on the country. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC Abdul Qadir Memon, Consul General of Pakistan in Hong Kong, discussed BRI’s impact on the country. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC

And should Pakistan default on the debt burden placed on the country via Chinese grants, loans and private equity handed out to improve infrastructure, it would, in a worst case scenario, consider liquidating some of its assets to pay off the debt, said Abdul Qadir Memon at the September 3 club lunch discussing how the BRI will impact the country.

The partnership has seen the creation of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), an economic zone connecting the western region of China with the sea port of Gwadar in the Baluchistan province of Pakistan. The ambitious project is considered one of the flagships of the BRI, a return on which is estimated to top US$100 billion in the next few years.

In outlining the types of projects taking place within the CPEC – energy, transportation, road and rail building – Memon responded to some of the criticisms levelled at China since it announced the BRI in 2013. There are concerns in some countries that such an ambitious infrastructure plan is in fact a move towards global dominance and influence.

Memon said it was his belief that since Donald Trump became president of the United States in 2016, China has moved to fill the vacuum left by the U.S. and its “America First” policy, adding that “China’s pursuit of a larger role in the world coincided with America’s pursuit of a smaller world”.

But he said that he saw “no harm” in the economic relationship with China, adding: “As long as we do not see any desire of the Chinese leadership to meddle in our domestic affairs.”

When asked further about Pakistan’s sometimes tumultuous diplomatic relationship with America, Memon acknowledged that, as it was Pakistan’s biggest export market, it was important keep up diplomacy.

However, he said recent reports of a US$300 million cut to Pakistan’s aid by the U.S. were inaccurate: “It’s not aid to Pakistan. It’s the money the U.S. owes to Pakistan.” Memon added the money was owed for providing coalition logistics for air and ground support during America’s war on terror.

“We believe the United States wants to blame Pakistan for its defeat in Afghanistan… And we believe the United States is behaving like a bully who goes out, gets beaten in the street, comes home and beats his children,” he said.

Watch the full club lunch below.

Why autocracy with democratic characteristics is key to China’s success

Autocracy alone is not the reason for China’s economic success, according to a political scientist who warned that President Xi Jinping is moving away from the “real” model that helped the country’s massive growth.

Professor Yuen Yuen Ang talked about the “real” China model. Photo: FCC Professor Yuen Yuen Ang talked about the “real” China model. Photo: FCC

The “real” China model, according to Professor Yuen Yuen Ang, is autocracy with democratic characteristics, introduced by former leader Deng Xiaoping when he implemented bureaucratic limits on power, competition and accountability. This enabled China to lift millions of people out of poverty as it became more adaptive and flexible, she said.

There are many different opinions when it comes to defining the China model, Prof Ang, Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Michigan, said. Western mainstream media tends to label it a combination of autocracy –  or single party rule – with state ownership and control over the economy. Chinese commentator Zhang Weiwei described the China model as a “super-large population, super-size territory, super-long history, super-rich culture”. Daniel Bell, theorist, believed it to be a meritocracy.

And despite announcing at the 19th Party Congress in 2017 that the world could learn from “the Chinese solution for tackling the problems facing mankind”, the President Xi himself failed to elaborate on what that solution was.

Prof Ang, who has presented her work at academic, global development, and corporate venues around the world, including the World Bank, United Nations, U.K Department of International Development, and the OECD Development Center, believes the political foundation of China’s economic success lies in what she calls “directed improvisation”, the merging of top-down direction and bottom-up improvisations within China’s one-party regime. This creates the right conditions for local officials and governments to implement innovative development, she said.

To that end, Beijing becomes the director, rather than the dictator, she said. While some direction from Central Government was vague and broad – what Prof Ang referred to as “grey” command that is deliberately unclear, therefore permitting experimentation – other commands were clear in either permitting or forbidding an action.

An example, she said, could be seen in data that examines more than 4,000 policies issued by the State Council over the years. Of the “grey” policies, e-commerce and Artificial Intelligence showed the highest amount of ambiguity because, she said, these are new areas in which the government is happy to allow more experimentation. The sector showing the lowest ambiguity when it came to commands from Central Government was Special Economic Zones, “because they’re for foreigners, so when dealing with foreigners it’s important to make the rules clear”, Prof Ang said.

And while she acknowledged that some Western democracies were growing concerned that emerging countries were finding the autocratic element of the China model more appealing than liberal democracy, she added that there were three basic lessons for developing countries to learn from China: Learning does not equal copying; learn from both China’s success and failures; adapt China’s “directed improvisation” to democratic contexts.

She added that she was hopeful that the Chinese version of her book, How China Escaped the Poverty Trap, would help the Chinese public to understand that it was not autocracy that lifted them out of poverty.

“I remain optimistic that there’s still room for debating what are the factors that made China great,” she added.

Watch Yuen Yuen Ang’s talk here.

FCC bids farewell to Gilbert Cheng – pictures and video

Hundreds gathered at the FCC on Saturday night to wish good luck to General Manager Gilbert Cheng as he retires after 46 years at the club.

Host Chris Slaughter read messages from absent members past and present in between inviting attendees to take to the stage on the first floor to share their own memories of Gilbert.

At the end of the evening Gilbert himself gave a speech in which he insisted this wasn’t goodbye, adding that he’d now be able to drink at the club without being on duty. Following his speech, Gilbert was presented with a sparkling cake to celebrate his birthday the following day.

The event was broadcast live on Facebook, giving overseas former members an opportunity to wish Gilbert well in his retirement. You can read those comments below the Facebook video.

See our gallery of photos here, and watch the video of the night’s speeches below.

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There’s hope yet for Hong Kong when it comes to the race in AI technology, says tech expert

The deindustrialisation of Hong Kong’s tech industry over the last three decades has led to a shortage of talent in the field of Artificial Intelligence (AI), according to an expert who says he hopes increased government funding will plug the gap.

Professor Kam-Fai Wong gave a glimpse of the future at the FCC. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC Professor Kam-Fai Wong gave a glimpse of the future at the FCC. Photo: Sarah Graham/FCC

A focus on training and subsequent careers in finance since the 1970s has meant the tech industry has been overlooked by students as an employment choice, says Professor Professor Kam-Fai Wong, of the Faculty of Engineering at The Chinese University of Hong Kong.

This explains why Hong Kong is nowhere to be seen in the top 15 of the Global AI Talent Report 2018, led by the US at number 1, the UK at number 2, with China at number 7, and an appearance for Singapore at number 10.

But Prof Wong was confident that Hong Kong’s close proximity to mainland China would also play a part in ending the deindustrialisation effect still affecting the city. In 2017, China laid out its plans to become the world leader in AI by 2030.

“I’m hoping after a few years there will be a rise in (university) admissions,” Prof Wong, who was recently appointed as one of the first batch of 61 national experts by the Chinese Association for Artificial Intelligence (CAAI), said.

Prof Wong’s talk on August 7, titled Artificial Intelligence: The New Global Arms Race, explored the areas and industries in which AI will – or in some cases already is – benefit the human race. From robot reporters in journalism to creating poems and music, AI will touch all our lives.

But while the march of the robots may make the lives of big business owners easier by cutting out the cost of paying humans to do work that can be automated, such a change will inevitably have an impact on wider society in terms of the types of job left for people.

It was the responsibility of governments, said Prof Wong, to ensure that the right framework was in place for everyone affected by AI.

And what about those wanting to find a job in the future away from robots? Get training in the service industry, said Prof Wong.

You can watch Prof Wong’s full talk here.

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